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RegionalizationResearch topic Focus will be on further investigation of regional analyses of low flow and drought characteristics, which will likely improve the prediction of the characteristics at gauged sites with rather short time series (extreme value modelling in a regional context). However, the most important aim of the regionalization will be the prediction of low flow and drought characteristics at the ungauged site, including an adequate estimation of the uncertainty. A particular challenge is to improve regionalization approaches in highly heterogeneous areas. The link between atmospheric circulation, regional precipitation patterns and possible low flow and drought will be studied. Indices representing large-scale atmospheric circulation, air-mass classifications and weather patterns will be included. It is anticipated that the link between atmospheric circulation patterns and low flow and drought will be useful for drought forecasting as an alternative for global/regional climate/weather models.
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